What is Probable?

Probable is a decentralized prediction market built on BNB Chain where users trade Yes/No outcomes using USDT. It launched in December 2025 and is live and actively used. The platform combines an on-chain order book, zero trading fees during launch, and oracle-based settlement, keeping execution transparent and fully on-chain.

Is there a Probable token or crypto coin today?

No. Probable does not currently have a token, ticker, or coin trading against usd or usdt. All activity is conducted using USDT as collateral. While a Points program exists, no token supply, launch date, or exchange listing has been announced. For now, Probable should be viewed as a pre-token crypto application.

How is Probable funded without a token sale?

Probable has not disclosed a priced seed or venture round. The only confirmed funding-related milestone is an incubation round dated December 16, 2025, with no public valuation or funds raised. This suggests strategic ecosystem support rather than a traditional crypto fundraising cycle.

Who is backing or incubating Probable?

Two entities are officially associated with the incubation stage. YZi Labs (formerly Binance Labs) is listed as a Tier-1, exchange-affiliated incubator, while PancakeSwap participates as an ecosystem venture incubator. Their involvement is tied to product incubation, not token investment.

How does trading work without a native coin?

All trades, collateral, and settlements are handled in USDT on BNB Chain. Orders are matched through an on-chain central limit order book, and outcomes are resolved via UMA’s Optimistic Oracle. Without a native token, there are no emissions, vesting cliffs, or unlock risks affecting early users.

What is the Points program really tracking?

Points record user participation across trading and referrals and are distributed weekly, every Monday at 00:00 UTC. They do not represent usd or usdt value and come with no guaranteed conversion into a future crypto token. Points function as a contribution record, not a financial asset.

How do referrals and rewards work in practice?

Referral access unlocks after generating more than $100 in lifetime trading volume. Once active, users earn 10% of the points generated by each referee. The program currently distributes 50,000 points per week, encouraging consistent activity rather than short-term volume spikes.

Where can users access or trade Probable?

Probable is accessed directly through its web application on BNB Chain. There are no centralized or decentralized exchange listings because no token exists. All trading happens inside the platform using USDT, keeping usd and usdt exposure internal to prediction markets.

What risks should users keep in mind?

Risks are mainly operational, not price-driven. Oracle disputes can delay settlement, smart contracts are still early-stage, and prediction markets remain in a regulatory gray zone. There’s also the possibility that no token is ever launched, leaving points with no direct financial outcome.